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First flood forecast shows only concern is in eastern Iowa

News, Weather

February 11th, 2023 by Ric Hanson

(Radio Iowa) – The National Weather Service’s first look at the potential for flooding this spring shows most of the state in good shape. Hydrologist Jeff Zogg says eastern Iowa is the only area raising concern. “The first flood outlook for the state of Iowa for this spring is showing a near to below-normal risk of flooding. And most streams in the state the main exceptions, the Mississippi River in far eastern Iowa, where the risk is above normal,” Zogg says.

The snowpack in eastern Iowa is one part of the equation that raises the risk for the Mississippi River for flooding. “We consider a bunch of different factors when we assess the spring flood risk. We look at river levels, soil moisture, the snowpack, specifically, the liquid content, how much water is in that snowpack, frost depth, and we also consider the temperature and precipitation outlooks,” he says.  Zogg says this year’s outlook is typical of the recent pattern.

“For the past couple of years, the spring flood outlooks have been pretty favorable for the state, not really any high risk of spring flooding across the state,” Zogg says. “Some locations, maybe a little bit above normal. Kind of like this year, the Mississippi is above normal risk, not much above normal, but above normal.” The second flood outlook will be released on February 23rd and Zogg says the updates take into account the forecast ahead. “The big thing that we have to look at is the future precipitation, things like rainfall or snowfall,” he says. “Of course, much of the face on a drought, so we would welcome the rainfall, it’s just that we don’t want it all at once. We want that rainfall spread out over time.”

These flood outlooks are for the long-term potential for river flooding. “They really don’t consider things like flash flooding, it’s more of a shorter-term hazard. That’s usually in response to a localized heavy rainfall event,” Zogg says. “So, people still need to be aware of the potential for that if we have any heavy rainfall events going forward. And as people who live in Iowa for a while now, we can definitely get heavy rainfall events in the spring and summer.”

The third and final spring flood outlook will be released on March 9th.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the Nishna Valley: Saturday, Feb. 11, 2023

Weather

February 11th, 2023 by Ric Hanson

Today: Sunny. High 48. NW winds at 10-15 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 27. S @ 15 mph.

Tomorrow: Cloudy. High 47. SW winds @ 5-10.

Monday: Mostly sunny. High 53.

Tuesday: Cloudy with a 95% chance of rain. High 49. SW @ 10-20 mph.

Friday’s High in Atlantic was 39. The Low was 13. Last year on this date the High in Atlantic was 49 and the Low was 4. The Record High on this date was 64 in 1951 & 1999. The Record Low was -26 in 1899.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the Nishna Valley: Friday, Feb. 10, 2023

Weather

February 10th, 2023 by Ric Hanson

Today: Sunny, with a high near 37. Wind chill values as low as 5. North northwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear, with a low around 21. Wind chill values as low as 10. South southwest wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 48. Wind chill values as low as 10 early. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 48.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 52.

Thursday’s High in Atlantic was 36. Our Low was 15. Last year on this date the High in Atlantic was 52 and the Low was 14. The Record High on this date was 72 in 1999. The Record Low was -24 in 1905.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the Nishna Valley: Thursday, 2/9/23

Weather

February 9th, 2023 by Ric Hanson

Today: Cloudy w/a mix of rain-snow this morning & flurries this afternoon. High 36. N winds @ 15-25. New snow accumulation of less than ½ inch is expected.
Tonight: Flurries ending; P/Cldy. Low 18. NW @ 10-20.
Tomorrow: P/Cldy. High 35. NW @ 10-15.
Saturday: P/Cldy. High near 50.
Sunday: P/Cldy. High 48.

Wednesday’s High in Atlantic was 51. Our Low was 27. Overnight rainfall/melted snow amounted to .13.” Last year on this date the High in Atlantic was 53 and the Low was 15. The Record High on this date was 59 in 1954, 2000 & 2009. The Record Low was -36 in 1975.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the Nishna Valley: Wed., Feb. 8, 2023

Weather

February 8th, 2023 by Ric Hanson

Today: Areas of fog this morning; Partly cloudy. High near 50. NE winds @ 5-10.
Tonight: Cloudy w/a light rain-snow mix late. Low 32. E/SE @ 5.
Tomorrow: Cldy w/light snow-rain. High 35. N @ 15-25. (less than 1” total snow)
Friday: Mo. Cldy w/flurries. High 31.
Saturday: P/Cldy. High 42.

Tuesday’s High in Atlantic was 44. The Low was 23. Last year on this date the High in Atlantic was 62 and the Low was 34. The Record High on this date was 62 in 1954 & 2022. The Record Low was -34 in 1971.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the Nishna Valley: Tue., 2/7/2023

Weather

February 7th, 2023 by Ric Hanson

Today: Partly cloudy. High around 45. NW winds @ 10-15 mph becoming SE late.
Tonight: Fair to P/Cldy. Low 24. SE @ 5-10.
Tomorrow: P/Cldy. High around 50. S @ 10.
Thursday: Mo. Cldy w/scattered light rain-snow. High 38.
Friday: Mostly cloudy w/flurries. High 32.

Monday’s High in Atlantic was 55. Our Low was 33. Last year on this date the High in Atlantic was 57 and the Low was 20. The Record High on this date was 64 in 1987. The Record Low was -30 in 1905.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the Nishna Valley, Monday, 2/6/2023

Weather

February 6th, 2023 by Ric Hanson

Today: Partly cloudy & windy. High near 50. S winds @ 15-30 mph.
Tonight: P/Cldy. Low around 28. NW @ 10-20.
Tuesday: P/Cldy. High 44. NW @ 10-15.
Wednesday: P/Cldy. High 48.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy w/scattered light rain. High near 40.

Sunday’s High in Atlantic was 47 and the low was 27. This day last year the high was 47 and the low was 15. The all-time record high for today’s date was 59 in 2009. The record low was -27 in 1982. Sunrise this morning is 7:27 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:42 p.m.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the Nishna Valley: Sunday, Feb. 5, 2023

Weather

February 5th, 2023 by Ric Hanson

Today: Sunny, with a high near 41. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Patchy fog between 8pm and 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 10 to 15 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

Monday: A 20 percent chance of rain after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Windy, with a southeast wind 13 to 22 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 34 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Blustery, with a southwest wind 11 to 18 mph becoming west northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 41. West northwest wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of rain after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.

Saturday’s High was 50 and the low was 2. This day last year the high was 52 and the low was 11. The all-time record high for today’s date was 66 in 1948. The record low was -26 in 1936. Sunrise this morning is 7:28 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:41 p.m.

Skyscan Forecast Saturday 2/4/2023

Weather

February 4th, 2023 by admin

Skyscan Forecast  Saturday, February 4, 2023  Dan Hicks

Today: Partly cloudy. SW @ 15-25. High 46.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. W @ 5-10. Low 24.

Sunday: Partly cloudy. NW shifting back to SE @ 5-10. High 42.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy. SE @ 15-20. Low 27.

Monday: Partly cloudy. High 46.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. High 40.

Yesterday’s high was 26 and the low was 2. This day last year the high was 27 and the low was 3. The all-time record high for today’s date was 62 in 1938. The record low was -30 in 1905. Sunrise this morning is 7:29 a.m. and sunset will be at 5:40 p.m.

Skyscan Forecast for Atlantic & the Nishna Valley: Friday, Feb. 3rd, 2023

Weather

February 3rd, 2023 by Ric Hanson

Today: Partly cloudy. High 22. SE @ 5-10 mph.
Tonight: P/Cldy. Low 15. S @ 5-10.
Tomorrow: P/Cldy. High 44. SW @ 15-25.
Sunday: P/Cldy. High 42.
Monday: P/Cldy. High 44.

Thursday’s High in Atlantic was 26. The Low was 0. Last year on this date the High in Atlantic was 15 and the Low was -4. The Record High on this date was 60 in 1934. The Record Low was -29 in 1996.