SKYSCAN FORECAST                     Saturday, February 4, 2012     Chris Parks     

*Winter Storm Warning until 6am Sunday for CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION counties*

*Winter Storm Warning until Midnight for MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY counties.*

*Winter Weather Advisory until 6am Sunday for Clarke, Taylor and Ringgold Counties*

*Winter Weather Advisory until Midnight tonight for Fremont and Page Counties*

Today: Snow and areas of blowing snow.  NNE @ 15-30.  5-9 inches of snow accumulation possible.  H 32.

 Tonight: Snow until 9pm. Cloudy then partly cloudy.  N @ 10-20.  L 19.

 Sunday: Mostly Sunny.  NW @ 5-10.  H 33.

 Monday: Sunny.  W @ 5-10.  H 35.

 Tuesday: Partly Sunny.  H 31.

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URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA

409 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

…HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED TO EXPAND ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST IOWA TODAY…

A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TODAY AND BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE REGION. A PERIOD OF SNOW WITH THUNDER IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. IF THE THUNDER SNOW OCCURS…SNOWFALL RATES WILL APPROACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE SNOWFALL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON.

CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-

CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS & UNION COUNTIES, INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…DENISON…CARROLL…JEFFERSON…BOONE…AMES…AUDUBON…GUTHRIE CENTER…ADEL…DES MOINES…ATLANTIC…GREENFIELD…WINTERSET…CORNING…CRESTON

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY…

* SHORT TERM TRENDS...PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING. EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOW TO OCCUR BETWEEN 6 AM AND NOON TODAY.

* STORM TOTAL SNOW…SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE FORECAST FOR THE AREA. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE WARNED AREA. A SHARP CUTOFF IS EXPECTED ALONG A WEST TO EAST LINE FROM NORTHERN CRAWFORD THROUGH NORTHERN STORY COUNTIES.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY…NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND DRIFTING OF SNOW TODAY AND TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS…HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS DURING THE PERIOD. THE FALLING SNOW…COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS… WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES. UNTREATED SURFACES WILL BECOME ICY AS THE SNOW FREEZES TO THE PAVEMENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL…KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT… FOOD…AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED.

359 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

TODAY…SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. BREEZY. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 8 INCHES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 6 TO 11 INCHES. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.

TONIGHT..MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL EARLY MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW IN THE EVENING…THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW BEFORE MIDNIGHT. BREEZY…COLDER. LOW AROUND 20. NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.

SUNDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 15 TO 20. WEST WIND NEAR 5 MPH.

MONDAY…SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 30S. WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.

(Source: Severe Storms Predication Center/Norman, OK 3:28-A.M. cst)

AREAS AFFECTED…Eastern NE & Western IA

CONCERNING…HEAVY SNOW….

INCH AN HOUR SNOWFALL RATES /GREATER IN THUNDERSNOW/ WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATER THIS MORNING. CESSATION OF HEAVIER RATES IS ALREADY ONGOING ACROSS CENTRAL NEB.  HEAVY SNOWFALL HAS DEVELOPED IN THE FAVORED LEFT EXIT REGION OF A MID-UPPER LEVEL JET…NOW QUICKLY PROGRESSING NORTHEASTWARD.

WITH THE LESSENING OF MORE SUPPORTIVE VERTICAL MOTION…RATES SHOULD GRADUALLY BEGIN TO TAPER OFF THIS MORNING. UNTIL THEN…WEAK MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY HAS SUPPORTED THE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEB. THIS AREA OF ENHANCED CONVECTIVE SNOWFALL POTENTIAL WILL SHIFT INTO SOUTHERN IA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. BRIEF BURSTS OF HEAVIER SNOW REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSNOW.

A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until Midnight for Fremont & Page Counties, where 1-3 inches of snow are expected.

WINTER STORM WARNING…

MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT…

* TIMING…SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF DAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS WITH SNOW TAPERING OFF BY LATE AFTERNOON. * ACCUMULATIONS…A BAND OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 11 INCHES IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR AND INTO WEST CENTRAL IOWA. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO OVER A FOOT ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THAT BAND OF HEAVY SNOW. * IMPACTS…TRAVEL WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT THROUGH THE DAY DUE TO HEAVY WET SNOW AND SOME BLOWING SNOW IS POSSIBLE. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL AND WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

907 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY…

REST OF TONIGHT...LIGHT RAIN LIKELY BEFORE MIDNIGHT…THEN SNOW AND RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. BREEZY. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.

SATURDAY…SNOW…BREEZY. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 5 INCHES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 4 TO 7 INCHES. HIGH IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WIND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.

SATURDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW THROUGH MIDNIGHT. BREEZY…COLDER. LOW AROUND 20. NORTH WIND 5 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW AROUND 15. WEST WIND NEAR 5 MPH.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGH IN THE MID 30S. LOW 15 TO 20.

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA

905 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

…HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TO SOUTHWEST IOWA BEGINNING OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY…

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO THE MIDWEST TONIGHT. RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND EVENTUALLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY BAND OF SNOW WILL SET UP FROM CENTRAL TO WEST CENTRAL IA

CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…DENISON…CARROLL…JEFFERSON…BOONE…AMES…AUDUBON…GUTHRIE CENTER…ADEL…DES MOINES…ATLANTIC…GREENFIELD…WINTERSET…CORNING…CRESTON

905 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY…

* TIMING…A GRADUAL TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA WILL SEE ALL SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SATURDAY EVENING.

* STORM TOTAL SNOW…SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. HEAVIEST TOTALS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE WARNED AREA.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY…NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND DRIFTING OF SNOW ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS…HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THE FALLING SNOW…COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS…WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES. ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SLIPPERY AS THE WET SNOW FREEZES TO THE PAVEMENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL…KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT…FOOD…AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED.

CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-
CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE COUNTIES
336 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* TIMING...A GRADUAL TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE
  THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA
  WILL SEE ALL SNOW BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A NARROW BAND OF
  HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA DURING THE
  DAY ON SATURDAY. SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SATURDAY EVENING.

* STORM TOTAL SNOW...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
  LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. 6 to 9 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER
  MONONA, HARRISON, SHELBY AND POTTAWATTAMIE COUNTIES. 
 * WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH A FEW
  HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND DRIFTING OF
  SNOW ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS ACROSS THE
  WARNED AREA. THE FALLING SNOW...COMBINED WITH STRONG
  WINDS...WILL LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES. ROADS WILL LIKELY
  BECOME SLIPPERY AS THE WET SNOW FREEZES TO THE PAVEMENT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 6AM SATURDAY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT SATURDAY, FOR FREMONT & PAGE COUNTIES, AND FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY 
TO 6AM SUNDAY FOR RINGGOLD AND TAYLOR COUNTIES. 

Here’s the forecast for Atlantic, and the KJAN listening area….

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