While no watches or warning are in effect for the KJAN listening area, the National Weather Service has issued a Tornado Watch for much of Nebraska from Noon today until 7-p.m.   Stay tuned to KJAN.com for additional weather updates. Keep your radio or a Weather Alert radio handy today!

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/oax/

COUNTIES IN IA: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-

PAGE; COUNTIES IN NE: KNOX-CEDAR-THURSTON-ANTELOPE-PIERCE-WAYNE-BOONE-MADISON- STANTON-CUMING-BURT-PLATTE-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON-BUTLER- SAUNDERS-DOUGLAS-SARPY-SEWARD-LANCASTER-CASS-OTOE-SALINE- JEFFERSON-GAGE-JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON-

1143 AM CDT SAT APR 14 2012 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE/VALLEY, NE

THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT: THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA. THE MAIN THREAT FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AFTER 3 PM AND BEFORE MIDNIGHT ON SATURDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TORNADOES…VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS MORNING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TO THE NORTH WITH INDIVIDUAL CELLS TRACKING NORTHEAST WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.

A MORE POTENT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS STILL EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AFTER THE INITIAL MORNING THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FIRST EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS WARM AND MOIST AIR RETURNS TO THE AREA…THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE STRONGLY UNSTABLE…THIS ALONG WITH VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER…INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES.

A dense fog advisory is in effect until 9 AM this morning for:
CARROLL,AUDUBON, GUTHRIE, CASS, ADAIR, ADAMS, UNION, AND TAYLOR COUNTIES.

Today: Areas of fog this morning.  Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74.  Southeast winds about 20 MPH.

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61.

Sunday: A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

Sunday Night: A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.

Tuesday:  Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

COUNTIES IN IOWA: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-PAGE 615 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2012 National Weather Service/Valley, NE

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST IOWA…WEST CENTRAL IOWA…EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA…NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

DAY ONE…TONIGHT:

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND FAR SOUTHERN SOUTHWEST IOWA. SEVERE WEATHER IS GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY:

THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA ON SATURDAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AFTER 3 PM AND BEFORE MIDNIGHT ON SATURDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TORNADOES…VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ON SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

A MORE POTENT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AFTER THE INITIAL THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FIRST EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS WARM AND MOIST AREA RETURNS TO THE AREA…THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE STRONGLY UNSTABLE…THIS ALONG WITH VERY STRONG SHEAR WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER…SOME SIGNIFICANT INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT….BUT WILL BE NEEDED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON SATURDAY.

Forecasters say some parts of Iowa may be in for rough weather this weekend, including thunderstorms, strong winds and heavy rain. Meteorologist Kevin Skow, at the National Weather Service, says it’s a good idea to keep an eye on the sky and an ear to the radio. “The best threat for severe weather looks to be on Saturday,” Skow says. “We have a warm front lifting north through the state and this could trigger some severe weather.” He says there’s a larger threat for severe weather to the southwest in Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma.

After a mild winter and the warmest March on record, Iowans have been spoiled by the unseasonable temperatures, but in the past week, reality has returned with Freeze Warnings three nights in a row. Skow says warmer temp are heading back to the state, but just for a few days. “Temperatures should rebound,” he says. “Winds will switch to the south. Temperatures on Saturday will be rising up into the low to mid-70s and then that’ll be the same for Sunday.” He expects a cold front to move in Sunday night that’ll bring chilly temperatures to start next week, with highs again in the 50s.

(Radio Iowa)

455 AM CDT FRI APR 13 2012 National Weather Service/Des Moines

DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. HOWEVER…NO SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST TODAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA TONIGHT…WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY: 

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING…WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS LIKELY LOCATED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35. LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS…AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STRONG STORMS.

ANOTHER ROUND THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON…MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 35. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE AMOUNT OF SEVERITY AT THIS TIME…BUT STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL CANNOT BE RULE OUT.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT… 

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT…AND POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SUNDAY.

Here’s the (Podcast) forecast for the KJAN listening area from Freese-Notis Meteorologist Dan Hicks, and the weather stats for Atlantic…

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356 AM CDT FRI APR 13 2012 National Weather Service/Des Moines – Cass and Area Counties in Iowa

TODAY…CLOUDY UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID MORNING… THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. BREEZY…WARMER. HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.

TONIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

SATURDAY…CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON…THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 60 PERCENT.

SATURDAY NIGHT…THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. BREEZY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 70 PERCENT.

SUNDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING…THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY. HIGH AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 50 PERCENT.

SUNDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. BREEZY…COOLER. LOW IN THE MID 40S.

MONDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. BREEZY…COOLER. HIGH IN THE MID 50S.

Here’s the (podcast) forecast for Atlantic, and the KJAN listening area, from Freese-Notis Meteorologist Dan Hicks, and the weather stats for Atlantic from KJAN News Director Ric Hanson…

Podcast: Play in new window | Download (1.1MB)

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