THE SEVERE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN, OK., HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 9-P.M. FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST IOWA….ADAIR ADAMS CASS CLARKE DECATUR FREMONT LUCAS MADISON MILLS MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD TAYLOR UNION WARREN.

Tornado Watch until 9-p.m for counties in yellow

A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE. WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE.

PROBABILITY TABLE:

PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 70%

PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 40%

PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 20%

PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS > 75 MPH : 20%

PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 90%

PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS > 2 INCHES : 70%

PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : >95%