IA COUNTIES: MONONA-HARRISON-SHELBY-POTTAWATTAMIE-MILLS-MONTGOMERY-FREMONT-PAGE…..NE COUNTIES-KNOX-CEDAR-THURSTON-ANTELOPE-PIERCE-WAYNE-BOONE-MADISON-STANTON-CUMING-BURT-PLATTE-COLFAX-DODGE-WASHINGTON-BUTLER-SAUNDERS-DOUGLAS-SARPY-SEWARD-LANCASTER-CASS-OTOE-SALINE- JEFFERSON-GAGE-JOHNSON-NEMAHA-PAWNEE-RICHARDSON-

1137 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT… ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND STRENGTH SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP BETWEEN 4 AND 6 PM IN EASTERN NEBRASKA WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR THE STRONGEST STORMS INITIALLY DEVELOPING FROM OMAHA AND TEKAMAH SOUTHWEST THROUGH LINCOLN…DAVID CITY AND COLUMBUS. HOWEVER…SEVERE STORMS REMAIN A THREAT OVER THE ENTIRE REGION. THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD THEN DEVELOP OR SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING.

LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS AND SOME OF THE HAIL COULD BE VERY LARGE. ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT WITH MORE DISCRETE STORMS THAT MANAGE TO DEVELOP…ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE THROUGH EVENING WITH DAMAGING WIND THE PRIMARY THREAT.

MINOR FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG SOME SMALL STREAMS IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA. THAT FLOODING MAY BE AGGRAVATED OR NEW FLOODING COULD DEVELOP TONIGHT DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY FALL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LARGE DISTURBANCE TRACKING ACROSS THE PLAINS TODAY WHICH WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA BY EVENING AND INTO WESTERN IOWA TONIGHT.

LABOR DAY THROUGH SATURDAY…

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT FOR PARTS OF THE AREA. THE CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS IN THOSE PERIODS SEEMS LOW AT THIS TIME. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT…WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS SEVERAL DISTURBANCES CROSS THE REGION.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…STORM SPOTTERS COULD BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.